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Opinion: Higher foreclosure numbers no cause for alarm

Realtor Dayv Morgan

Foreclosure activity is ticking up in Maricopa, but a closer look at the numbers suggests today’s market pressures barely compare to the turmoil homeowners faced during the Great Recession. 

A foreclosure, in a nutshell, is when a homeowner falls behind on their payments and the lender initiates the legal process to recover the amount owed. Homeowners are given a 90-day notice to bring their payments current. At the end of the 90 days, there’s a Trustee’s Sale, or an auction, where the lender sets the minimum bid at the amount to satisfy the loan. If that minimum isn’t met, the bank takes ownership of the property and sells it. 

Recent data shows distressed activity rising off a very low baseline. In 2024, the city recorded no closed bank-owned or HUD listings and just four closed short sales. That changed in 2025, when 19 bank-owned or HUD properties and 12 short sales closed. Even then, distressed transactions accounted for only 1.6% of the city’s 1,939 total closed listings — a small slice of the overall market. 

So far in 2026, there are 17 active or pending bank-owned or HUD listings and 33 short sales. Many of those homes were purchased in 2022 or later, when higher prices and rising interest rates stretched affordability. With the average sales price remaining relatively flat for more than three years, some recent buyers appear to be facing tighter margins than earlier homeowners who locked in lower payments. 

While the percentages may look dramatic compared to recent years, the raw numbers tell a calmer story. During the Great Recession, foreclosures flooded the market from 2008 through 2011, driving values down sharply. The peak came in 2009, when 1,651 lender-owned or HUD homes sold in Maricopa alone — a level of distress that dwarfs today’s activity. 

Local market watchers say the current trend resembles a normalization rather than a crisis. Inventory remains balanced, and the majority of homeowners still hold significant equity built over the past decade. For now, the increase in foreclosures registers less as a warning sign and more as a reminder that housing cycles continue to evolve, even in a market that has stayed remarkably steady in recent years.

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